avoid large losses


1) Bear Market Warnings

2) Reduced exposure to stocks during the unfavorable season



                                                                       


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The simple act of missing the time of the  year that is historically weak for the stock market leads to one of the few strategies that beats buy and hold. 


The black line shows the results of only two allocation changes per year based on our total market signal.


Those who stop chasing short-term returns can beat buy & hold significantly over the course of the full market cycle (bull and bear markets) as seen in the chart.  


You can read about the results of the strategy for each fund using the best TSP strategy.  


Our basic level of service is only $85/year ($185 for almanacs access).


We offer three levels of service.  Scroll down to see what each option provides. 



Please JOIN before the markets tumble again, so I can help.



TSP Allocation Advice for Serious & Reluctant Investors  

 

  No more guessing - know when to get in and out
                                                            for as low as $85 year 
                                                                                (annual renewals $75 thereafter)

 

  • Receive simple-to-execute allocation change e-mail alerts
  • Only requires 2 allocation adjustments per year with our lowest priced service
  • Also recieve access to at least two summary reports per year on the markets
  • Designed for all investors so you can focus on what matters in your life and not the markets

 

 

 

  Know when to sit out Bear markets

 

  • On average a new bear market begins every five years
  • The average bear market loss is 38% - the last two lost 48% and 56%
  • It takes a 100% gain to regain a 50% bear market loss
  • The financial news is most bullish at market tops and bearish at market bottoms
  • All levels of membership receive special alerts based on our market cycle indicators

 

 

 

 

  Stop the noise - focus on market leading indicators

 

  • Online Situation Reports – Tracking market leading indicators
  • Interim Updates – Market updates as required to market indicators and risks
  • Special Alerts – When our market indicators indicate caution and time to exit the market
  • For investors who want more information but without the noise

 

 

  Increase your trading percentages with our Almanacs

 

 

         

  • See the daily seasonal tendencies of your index funds with win-loss records 

                              S&P 500 index  (TSP C fund)

                              Small & Mid Cap fund (TSP S fund)

                              Fixed Income Fund  (TSP F fund)

  • Boost your returns with low risk seasonal cherry picking trades
  • We broke out the bull market years from the bear years and it changed core seasonal myths
  • For serious investors who like to make their own trades

full service for less than the price of a cappuccino a week  

 

 



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 A sample of our alerts


on 30 January 2018 via email alert...



I am reducing our allocation level to 50% in my subjective timing model on 31 January 2018.


Discussion: Our risk indicator remains in the Safe Zone. Stock market internals are fine, so why the shift?


Parabolic moves in the stock market are not normal and once they stop advancing everyone's technical signals 

quickly reverse  and then selling creates a negative feedback loop.









our 18 August 2015 interim update warned ... 

Market internals remain weak and have for some time.  Aversion to risk as measured by credit spreads in the bond market have now reached levels that historically been met with significant market corrections ... in the stock market within weeks.

Note: Our models were already out of stocks in August but we sent the email alert as advertised. 


our members avoided significant losses...


 


again in our 14 December 2015  Special Timing Report we warned...

 

 ...our risk aversion indicators are indicating a potential market crash anytime in the next few weeks...




 

 


what Wall Street does for you ...

 

Wall Street ‘experts’ have missed every stock market crash in 20 years   Market Watch

 


  

Did your financial adviser warn you?  If so, keep them, otherwise keep reading.








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